After 7 days, New Mexico has shifted to yellow because of a flattening of new cases (-4%). Today will be New York's second day in the green with cases decreasing (-34%) and testing meeting the baseline target. New Hampshire was briefly in the green yesterday, but back to yellow because of flat cases (-3%).
Our team is processing the latest guidance from the CDC on how to calculate if a state meets each of the gating criteria and how they shift between phases. It is thoughtful and will take some time to incorporate. For the time being, our red, yellow, green scale will indicate how a state is trending on the key measures that are a part of the White House criteria.
Using publicly available data we have adapted the criteria from Resolve to Save Lives into an alert system. We have created a section on the site where you can preview that.
Today, Michigan shifts to red because of an increase in cases (+8%).
New Mexico has met the criteria for 3 days in a row.
Guidance was released by the CDC yesterday on how they recommend scoring each measure. Our team is reviewing it. We'll share an update when we incorporate it.
This will be the third day that Michigan meets the criteria.
This will be the second continuous day for New Mexico.
This will be the second day that Michigan has met the criteria.
New Jersey was green on 5/16 and 5/17, but returned to yellow because its testing throughput dropped.
New Mexico returned to green because cases are decreasing (-11%).
5/17 is the first day that Michigan has met the criteria. This will be the second day for New Jersey.
New Mexico returned to yellow because cases are flat (-4%).
It is worth mentioning that both Kentucky and North Dakota are now red because cases are increasing.
5/16 is the first day that New Mexico and New Jersey have met the criteria.
While New Mexico's 14-day cases is decreasing, it is doing so at a very slow rate (-8%).
New Jersey has met the criteria with cases decreasing sharply (-55%), but is seeing 129 cases per million people per day. This is really high and should be closer (or lower) than 40.
As a reminder, no state had held on to the criteria for more than 3 days straight.
North Dakota was green on 5/12, 5/13, 5/14. Kentucky met all the criteria briefly for a day on 5/13.
North Dakota was steadily decreasing in cases over the past 3 days, but based on the state's report today, its 14-day cases flattened. So it shifts to yellow.
Kentucky briefly met all the criteria on 5/13, going from red to green. A big swing because it reported a large number of tests processed and went from cases increasing to decreasing for the past 14-day period. The state dropped to yellow on 5/14 because the number of tests it was doing dropped below the testing target. It continues to stay yellow because the 14-day case trend has flattened.
It is expected that states will fluctuate as they navigate this crisis. What's key is preserving the progress that they've made.